Saturday, May 27, 2006

Correlation is Not Causation

Mark Thoma posts about correlation not implying causation and points to this gem from the Simpsons:

Homer: Not a bear in sight. The "Bear Patrol" is working like a
charm!

Lisa: That's specious reasoning, Dad.

Homer: [uncomprehendingly] Thanks, honey.

Lisa: By your logic, I could claim that this rock keeps tigers away.

Homer: Hmm. How does it work?

Lisa: It doesn't work; it's just a stupid rock!

Homer: Uh-huh.

Lisa: But I don't see any tigers around, do you?

Homer: (pause) Lisa, I want to buy your rock.

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