Thursday, August 31, 2006
A Fascinating Question
After various modifications, he essentially asked:
Given the opportunity of accepting an additional million dollars of salary for as long as you work or anonymously increasing the income of every person in country Z (we settled on China for the purposes of our discussion) by X%, how large does X need to be in order for you to consider giving up the millions of dollars?
I will allow you to ponder the question a bit before biasing your thinking with some of the key points of our discussion.
For those interested, here are some basic facts that we didn't know when having our discussion, China's GDP is approx. $7T, so an X of 1 would represent a total increase to Chinese GDP of $70B. Keep in mind that the $70B is distributed in proportion to current income, so someone making $500 a year would get an additional $5 and someone making $100K would get an additional $1,000. So, roughly using the figures in this paper, 81 percent of the $70B (or $56.7B) would go to people with above median incomes and 32 percent (or $22.4B) would go to the top 10 percent of earners. In Beijing, income at the 80th percentile is approx $3,600 and at the 20th percentile it is approx $890.
Update: Tony V. provides more details here.
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