Thursday, October 15, 2009
Book of Odds
1 in 10 the odds a man in the US does not own a pair of blue jeans
1 in 100,000 odd a man will be diagnosed with breast cancer in a year
1 in 4.76 the odds that an ever-married or cohabiting man has cheated during the relationship
1 in 9.09 the odds that an ever married or cohabiting man has cheated during the relationship
And here's an article for shark week fans -- you are twice as likely to be killed by a vending machine than a shark (do note this follow-up though which provides some important context).
Perhaps these will help people better maximize their expected utility.
The odds a woman 25 or older with a bachelor's degree or more is employed are 1 in 1.4 (US, 2008).
1 in 1.99
The odds a woman 25 or older with a high school diploma and no higher is employed are 1 in 1.99 (US, 2008).
This only makes me feel only slightly better about my education. I thought it would be more.
It is even more saddening if you compare it with this:
1 in 1.46
The odds a man 25 or older with a high school diploma and no higher is employed are 1 in 1.46 (US, 2008).
A high school educated man is almost as likely to be employed as me. But perhaps that is because they posses physical labor capacities that I do not.
Secondly, the higher odds of lower educated male employment might be due to a larger employment market for uneducated men in physical labor. And even though I don't condone the social construction, I believe that the male is perceived as the provider of income. There might be greater incentive for men to be employed than women.
The only way to test these would be to find the unemployment rate by gender, so to adjust for only those seeking work. If the odds still differ, then we might be capable of investigating some kind of gender discrimination in the work force.
1 in 1.28 the odds that the victim of a solved murder was not a stranger to the murderer.
Crazy! So I guess this means that if you are going to be murdered, it's less likely that you were walking around in a bad part of town than that you were attacked by your friend, family member or significant other. I like this statistic because it means that you can significantly reduce your chances of being murdered just by treating people nicely. of course that doesn't account for crazy people. You can't avoid people becoming obsessed with you and then killing you out of jealousy or whatever they might have made up in their minds. So I guess the take home is be nice to people and stay away from the crazies and you should die of natural causes. And probably don't do crack. Because then you will have crackhead friends who could kill you.
The odds a male 15 - 44 has ever been tested for HIV are 1 in 2.15 (US, 3/2002 - 2/2003).
Interesting, this can be pretty entertaining actually
I'm wary of this data though. There probably isn't enough explanation behind the assumptions and data gathering to take it literally.
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